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Analisis Teknikal Terhadap Pergerakan Harga Saham Pada PT Astra Internasional Tbk Periode 2014
Elfha Alia Hendrayana (2018) | Tugas Akhir | Akuntansi
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Ringkasan
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui perhitungan pergerakan harga saham menurut metode MACD dan stochastic oscillator, interpretasi hasil perhitungan serta perbandingan dan keakuratan hasil pergerakan harga saham dengan berdasarkan metode MACD dan Stochastic oscillator pada saham PT Astra Internasional Tbk Periode 2014. Dalam penelitian ini penulis menggunakan metode deskriptif serta jenis data yang digunakan berdasarkan jenis data yang diperoleh adalah data kuantitatif, yaitu data harga pembuka, harga penutup, harga tertinggi dan harga terendah dari perdagangan harga saham ASII dan berbentuk data time series yaitu data yang menggambarkan dari waktu ke waktu dan periode secara historis berdasarkan harga saham harian selama periode 1 Januari 2014 sampi 31 Desember 2014 yang berasal dari www.idx.co.id dan http://finance.yahoo.com. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa Perhitungan pergerakan harga saham menurut metode MACD dan stochastic oscillator sebagai alat menganalisa pergerakan harga saham ASII ialah MACD line dan trigger line sedangkan pendekatan stochastic oscillator dapat dilakukan dengan menghitung nilai %K dan %D, sedangkan berdasarkan interpretasi metode MACD terbagi menjadi dua signal yaitu bullish dan bearish signal dan interpretasi dari metode stochastic oscillator didapat hasil analisisnya yaitu overbought, oversold, bearish dan bullish crossover, bullish dan bearih centerline Stochastic oscillator serta positif divergece dan yang terakhir perbandingan keakuratan prediksi pergerakan harga saham dengan metode MACD dan stochastic oscillator bila dibandingkan hasil pergerakan harga saham melalui grafik yang diinformasikan oleh indikator MACD pada periode terakhir menghasilkan uptrend sedangkan stochastic oscillator menghasilkan downtrend sehingga dalam kondisi tersebut metode keduanya yaitu MACD dan stochastic oscillator dianggap cukup akurat karena bila dibandingkan dengan harga aktual pada bulan Januari 2015 harga pada awal-awal januari mengalami penurunan yang sesuai dengan yang dihasilkan stochastic oscillator sedangkan minggu berikutnya mengalami kenaikan dan hasil tesebut sesuai dengan yang dihasilkan MACD. Kata kunci: MACD, pergerakan harga saham, stochastic oscillator.
Ringkasan Alternatif
This research aims to know the stock price movement according to the calculation method of the MACD and the stochastic oscillator, interpretation and comparison of calculation results and the accuracy of the results of the price movement of a stock based on Stochastic oscillator and MACD method on stock PT Astra International Tbk 2014 Period. In this study the author uses descriptive method as well as the types of data that are used based on the type of data that is retrieved is the quantitative data. data rates, the price of the cover, the highest price and the lowest prices from trading stock price ASII and the shape of time series data. data which describes from time to time and the period is historically based on daily stock price during the period 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2014 and www.idx.co.id originating from http://finance.yahoo.com. The results of this research show that the stock price movement according to the Calculation method of the MACD and the stochastic oscillator as a tool to analyze the movement of share prices of the MACD line is ASII and the trigger line while stochastic oscillator approximation can be done by calculating the value of %K and% D, while based on interpretation method of the MACD signal is divided into two is bullish and bearish signals and interpretation of the stochastic oscillator method obtained the results of his analysis that is overbought , oversold, bearish and bullish and bearish crossover Stochastic oscillator and centerline bearih positive divergence and the last comparison of the accuracy of the prediction of stock price movements with the MACD and stochastic oscillator and methods compared the results of stock price movements through the graph that the MACD indicator is informed by the last period stochastic oscillator generating an uptrend while generating a downtrend resulting in the condition of both methods, namely the MACD and the stochastic oscillator is considered quite accurate because when compared with the actual price in January 2015 price in early January has decreased accordingly by stochastic oscillator generated while the following week increase and the results are generated in accordance with the MACD. Keywords: MACD, price movements of stocks, stochastic oscillator.